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Clean Line + Lobbyists + Lies

3/4/2017

8 Comments

 
My week just wouldn't be complete without a dose of Clean Line + Lobbyists + Lies.  How about yours?

Fox News has published a lobbyist's opinion filled with the most outrageous lies.  And then tried to make "news" out of it.  So, what else is new?

Back in January, "infrastructure company" CG/LA Infrastructure pushed a list of 50 infrastructure projects that was spun to pretend it came from the White House.  Of course, that wasn't exactly true.  The list of projects came from CG/LA Infrastructure, who said they prepared it for Trump.  Now CG/LA's "President and CEO", Norman Anderson, says he's lobbying the administration to push his list of projects forward through Executive Order, instead of going through Congress.  He says he's "definitely lobbying."  Okay, so he's a lobbyist for the projects on his list.  Lobbyist.

What projects are on his list?  One of them is the Plains & Eastern Clean Line.  Clean Line.

What does Anderson say about the Plains & Eastern Clean Line?
The Plains & Eastern Clean Line – the first new transmission line sited in this country in 45 years – would generate more than $9 billion in new investment.
P&E is NOT "the first new transmission line sited in the country in 45 years."  In fact, hundreds of transmission projects planned and ordered by federally regulated regional transmission organizations and independent system operators (PJM, ISO-NE, NY-ISO, SPP, MISO, CAISO, ERCOT) are underway all across the country.  Anderson's bold-faced lie isn't even that hard to disprove.  Here's a graphic by the US Energy Information Administration showing over a hundred billion dollars of investment in transmission projects built since 1997 (only 20 years ago)!  Go ahead, google search for "transmission investment" to find hundreds of examples that disprove this lie.  LIE.

And then there's the $9B figure attached to Clean Line's $2.5B project.  Where did that come from?

I think Clean Line is pretty disgusting lately trying to remake itself to appeal to a new administration.  Is there no boot too dirty to lick when there's money to be made?

Especially because all this posturing and lying doesn't actually accomplish anything for Clean Line.  Anderson thinks if Trump signs an Executive Order advancing the infrastructure projects on the list that they "will be approved in 4 months."  "Approval" isn't Clean Line's problem.  Clean Line already thinks its project is "approved" by the U.S. Department of Energy.  What's holding up Clean Line's project right now is LACK OF CUSTOMERS.  That's right, Plains and Eastern has NO CUSTOMERS.  An Executive Order can't force utilities to pay for Clean Line's project.  Anderson is barking up the wrong tree, and all the lies in the world cannot create a revenue stream for a project that's not needed.

Fake news.
8 Comments

Show Me Why Grain Belt Express Should Be Denied, Missouri!

2/7/2017

1 Comment

 
And, they did!  Rebuttal testimony in GBE's latest attempt to get its project approved by the Missouri Public Service Commission has been filed.  This article attempts to "analyze" and summarize, but it doesn't acknowledge the weight of the individual testimonies, and that was probably hard to do within the confines of a word count.  So, I had to read it for myself... and I can use as many words as I need to do it justice.

Landowner parties Missouri Landowners Alliance and Show Me Concerned Landowners presented a fact-based, detailed, well-rounded defense against Grain Belt express.  They were bolstered by excellent rebuttal from Blake Hurst of the Missouri Farm Bureau and landowner Christina Reichert.  On the other hand, intervenors supporting Grain Belt Express filed a whole bunch of "me, too" fluff that was short on fact and detail and is likely to blow away in any strong wind of scrutiny.

Here are some of my favorites:

Ralls County Commissioner Wiley Hibbard -- gosh, I love this guy!  His testimony can only be described as forthright.  He doesn't mince words, but gets directly to the point on all issues.  For example:
In my opinion, this whole project is an attempt by a small group of investors to make a large amount of profit from the wind energy generation from Kansas. They have offered the proverbial 30 pieces of silver to local governments. Some have apparently taken it. I for one will not choose to do so. They promise Ralls County a whole million dollars (they must think this is 1960) to sell out our future. It is asking a lot of us to have our land taken by force to enable a few to get rich. I believe that other elected office holders should think beyond just today.
One million dollars?
Point made, Wiley, point made!

Don Lowenstein of the Missouri Landowners Alliance did a fantastic job with a really difficult subject -- taxes.  Nobody wants to even think about taxes,  instead they hire guys like Don to think about taxes for them.  He carefully and factually explains why GBE's claims of tax riches for affected counties are an overly-hyped generalization that has no basis in reality.
I think Mr. Tregengo’s assessment of the benefit to school districts and other county taxing jurisdictions is misleading because the facts are materially understated. 

I believe his overall discussion is short sighted because it does not address the tax revenues generated by the Project after it goes into service. Nor does it address the long term net tax benefits or losses. Therefore I regard most of his testimony as having little significance to an overall assessment of the longer term tax benefits to Missourians.

Basically, I believe that he spoke in generalizations which might leave the reader to see a much brighter prospect than actually exists for tax revenue benefits to Randolph and the other seven counties on the line. He omitted a discussion of which taxing jurisdictions receive little or no tax benefit.

Property devaluation expert Kurt Kielisch submitted fascinating testimony regarding the way electric transmission lines affect values of agricultural and rural property, and why industry-biased studies fail to capture the true cost to landowners.  The value of a piece of property in an open market is primarily perceptual, an idea routinely dismissed by industry-biased studies.
Essentially, the value of a property is based on the perception of the buyer. Understanding that perception drives value is the foundation in analyzing the effect that electric transmission lines have on property value.

This perception does not have to be based on a scientific or engineering fact, it is based on what a buyer believes. An example of perception driving value based solely on belief is the haunted house. A home cannot be proven scientifically to be haunted. Yet, there are several homes throughout the nation thought to be “haunted” which stigmatizes the property resulting in a diminished selling price.
Why would anyone want to purchase a piece of property with a high-voltage transmission line when they can find a comparable property without one?  I'm pretty sure nobody ever considered a high-voltage transmission line a wonderful and useful addition to a piece of property they were considering buying.  This goes double for agricultural property, where transmission lines pose an additional safety concern that the farmer has to work around.

Electric power expert Joseph Jakulski completely shreds GBE's greatest hope for approval, the transmission contract between GBE and the Missouri Joint Municipal Electric Utility Commission (MJMEUC).
Just as in the last case, Grain Belt still has no memorandums of understanding with wind generators, and no firm commitments from any load serving utilities to buy capacity on the proposed transmission line.

Grain Belt fails to mention that MJMEUC may without penalty or cost elect to take no capacity over the new line, and that decision will be made sixty to ninety days before the line is then expected to enter service.

The TSA is nothing more than an option agreement.


In short, there currently is no commitment from MJMEUC to buy any capacity on the proposed transmission line.

And about that purported $10M annual savings?
The only support provided for the $10 million estimate from the MJMEUC was an eight-row spreadsheet in response to MLA’s Data Request MJM.13.

It is a flawed calculation of the cost of transmitting 100 MW and 200 MW of wind power from SPP to MISO. There is no calculation of, or comparison to, buying wind power over Grain Belt. The spreadsheet also contains an error in calculating the loss component of the costs. The total costs end up including addition of megawatt-hours and dollars which is flawed mathematics.

The testimony of Christina Reichert is a well-written and compelling account GBE's burden on landowners, as well as a jaw-dropping account of GBE's repulsive interactions with landowners.  Christina tells how she was approached by GBE personnel after the PSC's original denial of the project because the PSC specifically mentioned her situation in their Order.  GBE told her they had "good news" and that the line was being rerouted off her property.  What happened next should give everyone pause:
  1. Mr. Lawlor asked how we felt about this move. We told him we would be thrilled not to have the line crossing our property, but that we did not want it moved to our neighbor’s property either. We couldn’t bring ourselves to benefit at the expense of our neighbors.

  2. He said that the proposal to move the line seemed like a viable option, but that they expected something in return from us. My husband asked what he meant. Mr. Lawlor never did tell us exactly what they were expecting in return for moving the line off our property, but said it would be nice to have something from us.
  3. We eventually told Mr. Lawlor that we could not agree to a move that would be detrimental to our neighbors, and that we would continue to oppose the Grain Belt Project. They thanked us for our time and left. That was the last we heard from Grain Belt about rerouting the line.
These are not the fair and aboveboard interactions with landowners that GBE pretends to carry out.  These are actions designed to reward landowners who toss their neighbors under the bus and support the project for the express purpose of saving themselves.  Sort of reminds me of GBE's pet landowner, Wayne Wilcox, who has testified that GBE crossing a tiny corner of his property isn't a problem and that he thinks the project is wonderful.

The testimony of agricultural expert Charles Kruse is a compelling account of the effects of GBE on agricultural operations.
I will rebut Grain Belt witnesses James Arndt’s and Lanz testimonies regarding how the Grain Belt Express project could impact farming operations as well as discuss other issues regarding the negative impacts to farming and land as a result of large transmission projects like the Grain Belt project. Specifically, I will address the following negative impacts: Compaction of Soil; Erosion; Irrigation Equipment Interference; Difficulty in Aerial Applications to Crops and Pastures; Possible GPS Interference; Problems Maneuvering Large Farm Equipment around Towers; Precision Farming Problems; Concerns about Storm Recovery; and Eminent Domain.
And he does, in factual detail.  He demonstrates that GBE's "agricultural expert" really misses the mark, as well as GBE's land lady, who really doesn't know much about agriculture at all.

Missouri Farm Bureau president Blake Hurst explains his organization's opposition to eminent domain, and he gets right to the truth:
Grain Belt Express Clean Line LLC’s supposed promises to sell power to Missouri municipalities should be recognized for what they are: a political stunt to create pressure for approval of this project by giving small benefits to local governments at the massive expense of landowners’ rights. Those municipalities in support will bear none of the burden from Grain Belt’s proposed project. It is instead Missouri’s rural landowners that will experience significant disruptions in their operations if Grain Belt Express Clean Line LLC is given the power to force land sales through eminent domain takings. This development does not change the underlying nature of the Grain Belt Express proposal. The project remains an attempt to engage in the abuse of eminent domain for private gain.
But the Missouri PSC Staff's report may perhaps be weightiest of all.  The Staff is acting as an impartial party to investigate GBE's claims and make recommendations to the Commissioners.  The PSC Staff found that the project is not needed and that GBE's analysis of "need" is severely flawed.  Staff also determined that the project is not necessarily economically beneficial.  It also opined that the Commission cannot grant a permit until GBE has the consent of the counties crossed.   The Staff has concerns about how GBE affects the safety of pipelines adjacent to its proposed route, as well as GBE's current ability to repair the project in event of failure.
In summary, based on Staff’s review: 1) Grain Belt does not have the consent of the Caldwell county commission for its proposed transmission line to cross the public roads and highways in that county, the validity of its consent from the Monroe County Commission is being challenged in court, and, presently, the prefiled evidence does not include any such consents by the county commissions of Buchanan, Clinton, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Randolph, Monroe and Ralls Counties; 2) There is not a clear need for the Project; 3) Grain Belt is qualified to construct, own, operate, control and manage the Project, but additional expertise will be needed once engineering and safety issues have been resolved; 4) Grain Belt has the financial ability to undertake the Project; 5) It is not clear whether the Project is economically feasible due to the lack of various RTO studies and the uncertainties surrounding the ATXI Mark Twain transmission line and its effects on the Missouri converter station and corresponding congestion; 6) A determination cannot be made at this time as to whether the Project is in the public interest since there is still uncertainty related to the economic feasibility and the safety of the Project.
I'm not going to address the majority of the GBE supporters who filed "rebuttal testimony" in this case.  It's a fluffy bunch of opinion and hot air, short on facts and long on stuff that doesn't matter.  Instead I'm going to focus on only the testimony of MJMEUC witness John Grotzinger, who claims:
It is expected that the MoPEP cities will save approximately $10 million annually by utilizing the Grain Belt Express and Infinity wind contract in their power supply after the IPM contact ends in 2021.
And then he attaches the same spreadsheets that the MLA's witness has already shredded.  But you know what I found really amazing?  The continued use of that $10M savings number.  It was first seen in GBE's proposal to the cities last year as a preliminary calculation using existing production tax credits for wind.  And wouldn't you know it... that number has never varied, despite the reduction in production tax credits, and the sudden addition of a wind PPA just as the testimony was filed.  Wow, serendipity, right?  Or maybe just a little too much coincidence for believability.  It reminds me of the misery of high school algebra... here's the answer to a problem, now create an equation that could result in that answer.  Magic math!

Which brings us to the thing I found most ridiculous.  GBE's legal shenanigans and dirty tricks designed to keep MJMEUC's magic math from being fairly analyzed.  GBE wants MJMEUC to be able to barf all this who shot John into the evidentiary record at the latest possible date, and then prevent the other parties from getting background information to assist their analysis and rebuttal.  GBE has presented a "Joint Defense Agreement" that basically states that GBE and MJMEUC have a common interest and a joint defense that allows them to share information between the parties and keep the information they share confidential.  GBE supposes this keeps all its interactions with MJMEUC under wraps, a big mystery that can never be questioned.  Just look at that $10M savings number and don't ask how we got there.

But yet, GBE and MJMEUC chose to not file MJMEUC's testimony as part of GBE's direct testimony last summer.  Instead, they chose to keep it under wraps until January, when opposing parties would have only 30 days to analyze and respond to it.  GBE and MJMEUC pretend this is perfectly innocent, and that MJMEUC filed its testimony at its first opportunity -- the deadline for rebuttal testimony.  It simply wasn't legally allowed to file earlier.  Umm... deadline?  A deadline to file testimony means the last possible opportunity.  A deadline does not prevent an earlier filing.  In fact, MJMEUC could have filed its "rebuttal" testimony at any time prior to the deadline.  But filing it on the deadline narrowed the window of time available to the other parties to respond to it.  Your unsportsmanlike actions are plain for all to see, GBE.  So, if GBE believes MJMEUC is its saving grace for this application, and MJMEUC's contract is such a wonderful, transparent attempt to save ratepayers money, why is it trying to shield it from scrutiny?  And what does this say about whose interests MJMEUC is really representing at this point?  A really good deal for the electric consumers MJMEUC is supposed to serve should be able to shine in the sun, not be hidden under layers of confidentiality and legal dirty tricks.  If I was an electric customer in any of those cities, I'd be distinctly suspicious.  It's clear that GBE will do anything and toss anyone under the bus in order to get its project approved.  Must be a lot of money in it for someone.
1 Comment

Clean Line's Fake News

2/3/2017

3 Comments

 
All press is good press, right, Clean Line?

Not necessarily.  After years of using Democrats and environmental organizations as mouthpieces for its "clean energy" scheme to build billions of dollars worth of highly profitable new electric transmission, Clean Line suddenly wants everyone to believe that it has an "in" with the new Republican Trump administration.  As if media spin and fake news could boost investor confidence in a company with no conceivable revenue stream.

Last week it was the fake "Trump administration" infrastructure list that turned out to be nothing more than a lobbyist constructed wish list.  The Trump team disavowed the list as coming from them.

This week, E&E's environmental trade press wants us to believe that Clean Line's Jimmy Glotfelty may be appointed "Chief of Staff" in Perry's Department of Energy.

Hahahaaaaa!

Entertaining, however nothing but more fake news designed to pretend that Clean Line's projects are viable because they will be boosted by the new administration.

So, why can't Jimmy walk into DOE's revolving door and help Clean Line from the inside?

Because he's personally invested in the company.  This would be a huge ethics violation for an individual to "regulate" his own investment.

From Clean Line's testimony at the Missouri PSC:
Clean Line’s owners are GridAmerica Holdings Inc., a subsidiary of National Grid USA (“National Grid”); Clean Line Investor Corp., a subsidiary of ZAM Ventures, L.P. (“ZAM Ventures”); Michael Zilkha; and Clean Line Investment LLC.

Clean Line Investment LLC is a vehicle for service providers and employees to invest in Clean Line, and is a small, minority shareholder in Clean Line.

Which employees have invested in Clean Line Investment LLC?
Michael Skelly
Michael Zikha
Jayshree Desal    
James Glotfelty    
Mario Hurtado    
David Berry

If the mysterious "source close to the DOE" who placed Jimmy's name on the short list for a DOE position thought nobody would ever notice that Jimmy has a huge conflict of interest, the cat's now out of the bag.

What a ridiculous bunch of fake news!  Clean Line's attempts to generate supportive fake news has finally jumped the shark.  This simply cannot happen.

I wonder how much it has cost to place Clean Line in all this fake news?  As the folks at Block Clean Line ruminated:
While all these things seem kind of academic, it's pretty clear from Mario Hurtado's interview with NewsOK that the truthiness of this list isn't going to stop Clean Line from spinning it in a way they can use to preen (beg?) for financing and to pressure landowners.

"When the Trump campaign was looking at infrastructure, we thought it was a good thing to mention. We're just happy to be part of the conversation."

Like, when did you just happen to mention it? Did you run into them in the grocery store? How much did that conversation cost?

And how much mileage does this fake news really have?

Will it change the Participation Agreement between Clean Line and the U.S. DOE that requires the company to secure customers and financing before the DOE steps in to negotiate rights of way for the project? 

No.

Will it cause utilities to sign contracts for transmission capacity from a bunch of wind generators that haven't even been built yet? 

No.

Transmission without generation is a cart before horse proposition fraught with risk.  Would you buy shipping for a product from a certain location, before you even decided where to buy your product?  Of course not.  And that's where Clean Line's business plan hit the molasses swamp.

Will the Trump administration be fooled by all this fake news to believe that it supports a transmission project that its never taken official notice of before?  Will no one speak out about all this fake advocacy?

Personally, I've had enough fake news.  As if the folks so upset by last year's election can overcome it by projectile vomiting a huge vat of half true and made up crap.  The greatest danger of embellishing is that folks will simply tune you out and stop listening.
Here's a little reality.

No matter how Clean Line spins news to try to make you believe Trump champions their project, there is nothing the administration can do to make the project happen.  It's a market-based project, and the market just isn't there.  Who is Clean Line trying to fool with this fake news?  Maybe landowners, who are resisting their efforts to purchase rights of way for the project.  Maybe investors, who may be getting nervous because Clean Line has no customers.  And maybe they just like to hear the sound of their own name, even though the claims are empty.

Is the Trump administration really having secret meetings with Clean Line Energy Partners?  Go ahead, ask them!
Right now, I'm a villager.  I don't believe it.
3 Comments

Clean Line Business Plan May Be Beyond Reporter's Grasp

1/13/2017

2 Comments

 
The Arkansas Business reporter who attempted to speak for landowners last year is back to assure everyone that the Plains & Eastern Clean Line is sure to be a favorite of the new Trump administration.  Maybe it was hard to breathe in there and he got a little confused?  Or maybe he just doesn't have enough information because he's been talking to the wrong people?

Kyle Massey insists:
... a GOP penchant for infrastructure projects and commerce-building is expected to favor endeavors like the Plains & Eastern Clean Line, a $2 billion plan for transmitting wind power across 12 Arkansas counties from Oklahoma to near Memphis.
Let's parse that statement.  Massey says Plains & Eastern is expected to be "favored."  Favored?  How is that exactly?  What might a GOP administration actually do to "favor" the project?  Does this mean that the administration will somehow step outside the law to "permit" this project?  Does it mean that a GOP administration will suddenly find a big chunk of taxpayer cash with which to build the project?  Does this mean that a GOP administration will finance the $2B project with taxpayer funds?

None of that will happen.  Because it can't happen.  The U.S. Department of Energy has already signed a Participation Agreement, in which it agrees to "participate" in the project only under certain conditions.

1.  No taxpayer or government money or loans will be used for the project.
2. The project must be fully financed before the government "participates."
3.  The  project must have confirmed customers for its transmission capacity before the government "participates" in eminent domain activities to secure needed right of way.

There's absolutely no way for any administration to further "favor" the Plains & Eastern project to assure that it gets built.

Plains & Eastern is a "merchant" transmission project.  That means that the company takes on all the market risk for the project.  If there is no market for the project, it cannot be financed and built because it has no revenue stream to pay for construction.  Only potential customers can volunteer to buy capacity and create a revenue stream.  It has no captive ratepayers forced to shoulder its costs and guarantee repayment of financing.

And Plains & Eastern has no customers.  No utilities have volunteered to become customers.  No "fortune 500 companies" have volunteered to become customers.  Fortune 500 companies do not buy power and transmission directly, but are served by their local utility franchise.  So no matter how much they may be clambering for renewable energy, the companies do not decide where it is procured, or how it is transmitted.  The utility makes that choice.  The utility has a responsibility to provide its captive ratepayers with the cheapest resource available.  So, sure, big companies do carelessly throw their names onto ineffectual letters that pretty much say nothing.  But they do so at their own risk... the risk that their customers may find their penchant for eminent domain to accomplish their corporate greenwashing goals repugnant and stop shopping at their stores or buying their products.  While it is generally accepted that "green is good," and that greenwashed companies are favored by the public, that changes when the greenwashing encourages the eminent domain taking of customer private property.  Do I want my shampoo made with green energy?  Do I want my shampoo made with green energy that hinders the productivity and profitability of a chicken farmer in Arkansas?  No, the "green" doesn't spread that far.  Maybe Unilever is going to produce, and Walmart is going to sell, new Eminent Domain Guilt Shampoo?  Lather, ruin someone's dream, rinse.  Repeat the misery.

Massey's dream is buoyed along by academia.
Academic voices say the trend toward renewables may be too entrenched to be crippled by Washington. Trump “can eliminate subsidies for solar power as well as electric cars, and he may not be very supportive of renewable energy, but ultimately technology and market forces will be the determining forces,” said Rajesh Sharma, an Arkansas State University assistant professor and expert in renewable energy technology. “Clean technology is advancing every year and costs are going down.”
Actually, the subsidies for industrial wind are already on the chopping block and were reduced 20% on January 1, with additional reductions to come every year until phased out completely by 2021.  Wind is going to get more expensive when tax credits evaporate,  not cheaper.  Economics aren't going to help Plains & Eastern.  The project failed to attract customers when the tax credits were highest, and a GOP administration is likely to further dampen enthusiasm for expensive power that utilities aren't required by law to buy.  Even our pal Mikey Skelly acknowledges that.
Skelly sees opposition to the Clean Power Plan as “probably a net negative” to his ambitious project...
Massey's prediction, masquerading as "news," holds no greater weight than the prognostication of someone else.

And with the help of Wayne and Garth we will now enter our own dream sequence...
President Trump:  "What's this Plains & Eastern Clean Line?"
Secretary of Energy Perry:  "It's a 700-mile electric transmission line that will encourage the building of thousands of new wind turbines in red states."
President Trump:  "Does it have any customers?"
Secretary of Energy Perry:  "No.  Even the previous administration wasn't capable of 'favoring' it enough to attract customers."
President Trump:  "Do the Republicans want it to be built?"
Secretary of Energy Perry:  "No.  As a matter of fact, the entire Republican delegation from the State of Arkansas is vehemently opposed to it because it is just so much federal overreach."
President Trump:  "$@$& that!  Plains & Eastern Clean Line, you're fired!"

We've all got dreams.  Some are more realistic than others.
2 Comments

Clean Line Deathwatch Victim #2:   Southwire

1/8/2017

7 Comments

 
Clean Line "preferred vendor" Southwire joined compatriot General Cable in the cemetery of good intentions this week.
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Southwire announced that it will be closing its Flora, Illinois facility in the first quarter of this year.  That's a lot of permanent jobs that will disappear from southern Illinois.  And another of Clean Line's "strategic alliances" bites the dust.

Rock Island Clean Line's "strategic alliance" with Southwire:
Clean Line recently announced an agreement with Southwire, designating Southwire as the preferred supplier of the overhead transmission wire for the Rock Island Clean Line. The agreement anticipates that the wire will be produced in Southwire’s facility in Flora, Illinois, where the company employs approximately 130 people. Clean Line and Southwire announced the agreement on March 6, 2012, at the American Wind Energy Association’s Regional Wind Energy Summit- Midwest.
Grain Belt Express Clean Line's "strategic alliance" with Southwire:
A leader in technology and innovation, Southwire Company, LLC is one of North America’s largest wire and cable producers. Southwire and its subsidiaries manufacture underground and overhead Utility products, Renewable Energy products, building wire and cable, metal-clad (MC) cable, portable and electronic cord products. Southwire also provides OEM wire products, engineered products, continuous casting technology, and products made by Technology Research, LLC and Watteredge, LLC, both subsidiaries of Southwire Company.

Southwire’s Flora, Illinois plant has more than 40 years of experience in the design and manufacturing of overhead transmission conductor. Today, the plant leverages that expertise to support large-scale transmission projects like Grain Belt Express. The Grain Belt Express project could require as much as $35 million in materials from Southwire, depending on commodity prices and other variables.
So what happens to Southwire's extra-special MOU with Clean Line to purchase transmission wire for two of its proposed projects valued at more than $100M?  Will Southwire manufacture the wire for Clean Line in another state or even another country?  How exactly does this help the state of Illinois?  And how much did the Illinois Commerce Commission depend on an increase in Illinois jobs when it approved the Rock Island and Grain Belt projects?
SPRINGFIELD (Nov. 12, 2015) – The Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) today approved an Order granting Clean Line Energy a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity to construct and operate the Illinois portion of the 780-mile direct current Grain Belt Express Clean Line.

The project will bring approximately $700 million of private investment to the state of Illinois, create about 1,500 jobs and support Illinois manufacturing.

Clean Line is also committed to supporting local businesses and has designated Southwire Company a preferred supplier for wire for the transmission line. Southwire will manufacture the wire at its plant in Flora, Illinois.

Whoopsie!  And what about all the economic promises to Illinois touted by the Chamber of Commerce?
“The Illinois Chamber of Commerce applauds Clean Line Energy and Southwire Company for coming together to support manufacturing jobs in Illinois,” said Todd Maisch, President and CEO of the Illinois Chamber of Commerce. “Through this agreement, the Grain Belt Express Clean Line will create vital work orders for a local company. Clean Line’s commitment to hiring locally whenever possible will ensure that the Grain Belt Express will be an economic boon to the state.”
Gone with the wind.

So, let's review.  One of three Plains & Eastern Clean Line "strategic alliances" is kaput.  One of three Rock Island Clean Line "strategic alliances" is kaput.  One out of five "strategic alliances" for the Grain Belt Express Clean Line is kaput.

A MOU with a company that can't get its projects approved, financed and built can't prevent economic disaster.

Who's next?
7 Comments

Clean Line Sponsors Hen House for Utility Chickens

1/7/2017

2 Comments

 
Here chickie, chickie, chick...

Clean Line Energy Partners and the Southern Alliance for Clean Energy are "sponsoring" a "clean power summit" for southeastern states.  What a great way to herd all the southern utility chickens into the HVDC merchant transmission line hen house!

Still completely desperate for customers I see, Clean Line.  As if listening to Mario Harturdo for 45 minutes is going to result in enough transmission capacity contracts to save your project?  That's pretty pathetic.  And also amusing.
Picture
Nobody wants to contract for transmission capacity on an unbuilt transmission line that doesn't connect with any existing generators.  No generators, no transmission line, no customers!

While the vast majority of the presentations at the "summit" are about distributed generation, solar and building wind generators in the southeast, never fear, Clean Line and its environmental puppet will be making presentations touting the wonderfulness of long-distance HVDC transmission from the Midwest.  Sounds like a good time to step outside and get a cup of coffee, return some phone calls.

Here's what's timely and interesting for southeastern utilities:
  • South Carolina’s Distributed Energy Resource Act
  • Southeast Solar, Renewable Energy Policy and Rate Design Update
  • Entergy New Orleans’ Self-Build Aggregated Rooftop Solar Project
  • Management of Purchase Agreements for Both Power and RECs
  • State Utility Commissioners’ Perspectives on Clean Power in the Southeast (renewable resources policies and development in the region)
  • Distributed Solar at Florida Power & Light
  • Case Study: Designing a Community Solar + Storage Project to Meet Customer Needs
  • Community Solar: Where Are We Now?
  • Ratemaking Challenges and Solutions with Renewable Energy
  • New Hydropower at Existing Dams, Realizing the Full Potential of Existing Infrastructure
  • Net Energy Metering Across Entergy’s Jurisdictions
  • Renewable Energy Programs in the Tennessee Valley
All these topics focus on southeastern renewable resources... making the most of what's available locally.  And then there's Clean Line, and SACE, sticking out like a couple of sore thumbs.
  • Utilizing HVDC Transmission to Enhance Renewable Energy Delivery in the Southeast
    High-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission is the most efficient technology to move large amounts of power over long distances. Utilizing HVDC, the Plains & Eastern Clean Line will provide southeastern states with access to some of the best wind energy resources in the country. Low-cost wind power delivered by this project is an essential measure to help southeastern states diversify their energy mix. This presentation will outline the measures by which Clean Line is conveying low-cost renewable energy from windy areas in the Plains States to areas with a demand for clean energy. It will also examine how Clean Line has navigated state and federal permitting processes to advance the project to construction.
Say what?  Construction?  Clean Line hasn't put one shovel anywhere near the ground yet.  And why is that?  Because Clean Line has no customers!  No customers, no eminent domain help from the U.S. DOE, and no project financing.  And, just so you know, Clean Line isn't an "essential measure" for any purpose.  Transmission lines that are "essential" would be supported by regional planning authorities.  Clean Line is not supported by any planning authority.  Clean Line is pure "build it and they will come" speculation.  Except Clean Line wants the chickens to come before they build it, and that's just not happening.

So, if the chickens aren't convinced by Mario Harturdo's presentation, there's still an opportunity to be guided to buy transmission capacity on an unbuilt transmission line to nowhere by the Southern Alliance for Clean Energy.
  • Key Considerations for Southern Wind Power    Wind power opportunities for customers in the south are expanding. North Carolina has installed its first utility-scale wind farm, highlighting the improvement of new turbine technology for in-region wind power. Utilities are beginning to focus on winter peak demand requirements, during times when power resources would provide substantial capacity. The changes in the federal production tax credit (PTC) for wind power effectively gives a four-year window, after signing a power purchase agreement, to receive power. Major proposed high voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission projects would connect exceptionally high value, low cost wind power resources to the southeast. How do these key considerations affect plans for renewable energy purchases in the next five years? What are the primary benefits, and challenges, to incorporating more wind power into the southeastern electricity mix? This segment will focus on recent changes and considerations for southern wind power and how to evaluate what opportunities exist.
Oh for the love of Woodsy Owl... the last thing a bunch of utility executives need is to be "taught" how to evaluate wind power purchases by an environmentalist.  SACE knows so much about utility renewable purchase agreements that it recently sponsored a petition asking the TVA to buy power from Clean Line Energy.  (Hint:  Clean Line does not sell power.  It is a wanna be transmission company.)  I hope Simon is planning to play loud music during his presentation to cover up all the laughter from the audience.

And for attending this glorified sales pitch, conference organizer EUCI wants you to pay $1195 in conference fees, per person, plus the cost of travel, room & board while you're whooping it up for 2 days in beautiful, warm Charleston, SC.

Sorta makes you wonder... if these "summits" have "sponsors" that are permitted to advertise their products with presentations during the "summit," why is there an additional fee to attend?  Is EUCI splitting the loot with its "sponsors?"

Heeeerrrre chickie, chick, chick...
2 Comments

Why Grain Belt Express is a Bad Deal for Missouri

11/29/2016

6 Comments

 
Public hearings on Grain Belt Express' most recent application (its third) to the Missouri Public Service Commission are set to begin next week.  Another huge public turnout to oppose the plan is expected. 

None of Clean Line's smoke and mirrors about project "benefits" has any basis in fact or logic.

Clean Line's proposed "income" for landowners is a huge fabrication.  Any payments to landowners are a lame attempt at compensation for property taken from landowners through the courts.  In exchange for payments, landowners would be trading rights-of-way across their property.  Eminent domain law requires the taking entity to compensate landowners for the market value of property taken from them.  It is not additional "income."  Income would allow a landowner to gain something valuable while losing nothing.  The truth of the matter is that Grain Belt Express is proposing to make landowners whole for property taken from them.  It's a wash, not a gain.  It's no different than Walmart showing up at your house and cleaning out your pantry and freezer and then giving you "market value" for the goods it has confiscated.  Meanwhile, Walmart has your food and can sell it to others for a profit.  There are no benefits to landowners from construction of Grain Belt Express.

Clean Line's claims of increased tax revenue for counties crossed is another disingenuous glittering generality.  In essence, it is a proposal that economic development opportunity trumps your right to own and enjoy property.  Everyone's house would generate more tax revenue if it was a Walmart.  Economic development alone is not reason enough to trample on private property rights.  This is even more true when looked at through the public utility lens that Clean Line hides behind.  Public utilities have enjoyed eminent domain authority when a project is necessary to serve the public.  It's a high burden that a utility must carry to demonstrate that its project is necessary to serve the public.  Simply stating that if property is taken and a project built that a public need will develop, is not enough to carry this burden to take property in the first place.  Especially when the "utility" is Clean Line, who has no firm customers for its transmission line.  It's all based on future speculation, and that's not good enough.

Clean Line's claims of increased tax revenue also fail to calculate any detriments Grain Belt Express will bring to affected counties.  Properties crossed by electric transmission lines lose value.  This lowers the assessed value of affected properties and decreases property tax revenue to the county.  In addition, the burden of hosting the transmission line will cost the county in increased public safety expenses, both during the invasive construction of the project and for years afterwards when the counties must purchase equipment and supplies to prepare for any transmission line disaster that may happen in the future.  For example, substation fires require different types of equipment and special chemicals to fight.  Counties could spend their entire "windfalls" supporting Clean Line's infrastructure in their locality.

Clean Line's claims that its Grain Belt Express project will save Missourians $10M a year in energy costs is not based on fact.  Although Clean Line witnesses make this claim in testimony to the PSC, there is nothing to back it up.  No analysis, no numbers.  Based on documents made public months ago, the $10M claim was concocted by Clean Line when it attempted to sell its capacity to Missouri municipalities.
Preliminary calculations, assuming existing production tax credits for wind project participation in the project, could reduce costs by as much as $10M/year or $10 per megawatt hour compared to delivery of other wind projects from SPP to MISO.
Preliminary calculations?  Clean Line's calculations, which have yet to be revealed to the public.  "Assuming existing production tax credits" assumes too much.  At the end of this year, the production tax credit will begin phase out and the subsidy for wind energy will be cut 20%.  The following year it will be cut 40%.  The next year it will be cut 60%, eventually disappearing altogether within 5 years.  Couple this with our friend Bob from the Hannibal BPW's recent statements that he has yet to contract for any wind energy to serve the City of Hannibal.  That's because the generators Clean Line says will develop to use its project haven't been constructed yet.  The only thing Missouri municipal utilities have tentatively contracted for with Clean Line is transmission capacity, not energy.  Energy must be purchased separately, and come from the specific geographic area close to Clean Line's proposed converter station in southwest Kansas.  It's not about purchasing the cheapest wind energy available in today's market, it's about speculation with unbuilt generators to supply energy via an unbuilt transmission line.  Too many variables to accurately calculate any cost savings to Missouri, since Clean Line cannot and does not sell any energy proposed to be transmitted to Missouri via its project.  How was this $10M "savings" calculated when there are no energy prices to work with?  Sort of looks like Clean Line simply made it up out of hypothetical numbers presented in a light most favorable to Clean Line.  But, hey, at least the Missouri municipalities have the option to back out of their "contract" with Clean Line at any time in the future and purchase nothing.  If cities sit around waiting for Clean Line to ship them energy from generators that don't exist, at prices that have no basis in reality, then the cities may get stuck paying much higher prices to procure energy down the road if nothing develops and they're left without enough resources to serve customers.  Coulda, woulda, shoulda... by law, utilities are required to have adequate resources under contract, not base their future service on hypotheticals.

And simply parading a collection of politicians and business interests who stand to personally profit from the construction of the project isn't support based on fact and logic.  It's based on money, pure and simple.

True grassroots opinion based on fact and logic cannot be bought.  True grassroots opposition will drown out expensive, manufactured "support" and will carry the day at the upcoming public hearings.  Won't you lend your voice?

The public hearing schedule:
 
Dec. 7, 2016: Monroe City
Knights of Columbus Hall, 424 South Locust
The local public hearing will begin at 12:00 p.m.*

Dec. 7, 2016: Hannibal
Theater Auditorium, Hannibal-LaGrange University, 2800 Palmyra Road
The local public hearing will begin at 6:00 p.m

Dec. 8, 2016: Marceline
Walsworth Community Center, 124 East Ritchie
The local public hearing will begin at 12:00 p.m.*

Dec. 8, 2016: Moberly
Moberly Municipal Auditorium, 201 West Rollins
The local public hearing will begin at 6:00 p.m.

Dec. 13, 2016: Cameron
Cameron Community Center, 915 Ashland Avenue
The local public hearing will begin at 12:00 p.m.*

Dec. 13, 2016: Faucett
Mid-Buchanan High School, Multipurpose Room, 3221 SE Route H
The local public hearing will begin at 6:00 p.m.

Dec. 14, 2016: Polo
Community Center at Stagecoach Park, 1010 Main Street
The local public hearing will begin at 12:00 p.m.*

Dec. 14, 2016: Carrollton
Rupe Community Center, 710 Harvest Hills Drive
The local public hearing will begin at 6:00 p.m.
 
*In order to be able to move equipment to the next local public hearing that same day, 12:00 p.m. local public hearings will end no later than 4:00 p.m.
 
For more very important info. please visit Block GBE-MO.
6 Comments

Ut-oh, GE!

11/2/2016

0 Comments

 
Well, whoop-de-diddly-doooo, Clean Line belched another huge cloud of public relations smoke yesterday designed to cover up the fact that it's going nowhere fast.

Clean Line has entered what it describes as a "partnership" with GE to build three AC/DC converter stations for its beleaguered Plains & Eastern Clean Line project.  Partnership?  I don't think so, because it sounds more like Clean Line simply hiring a supplier.... a supplier it has no money to pay.
This will be GE’s first HVDC project in the United States since acquiring Alstom’s energy portfolio last year. This addition to our portfolio was critical.
GE... trying to breathe new life into bad ideas.  This project, so "critical" to GE's business, has a long, long way to go before building anything.  I wonder if GE has read Clean Line's "Participation Agreement" with the U.S. DOE that requires the company to have financing in place before proceeding?  In order to get financing, Clean Line would need customers.  There are no customers for Plains & Eastern.  Where does GE think Clean Line is going to get the money to pay them for 3 converter stations?

I wonder if GE has heard about the lawsuit filed in federal court that alleges the U.S. DOE exceeded their statutory authority in their review and agreement to "participate" in this project?  Does GE know that the U.S. DOE does not have the authority to condemn and take easements for a Section 1222 project?  And without easements, there's no place for Clean Line to build anything.

Yeah, good luck with that, GE.

But, hey, at least GE beat rival Siemens to a worthless contract with a company that can't get its projects off the ground.  After years of patsy Siemens stumping for Clean Line in Arkansas, Clean Line dumped them and inked a contract with their rival.  And how awkward are things going to get in Houston, doing business with two rival companies?  Clean Line announced years ago that it had signed an "exclusive agreement" with Siemens to develop, design and implement the converter stations for its Rock Island project.  Now that Clean Line and GE have become the Plains & Eastern converter station Bobbsey Twins, is Siemens' Rock Island converter station "agreement" about to be reneged?  I'd have to think that GE must have given Clean Line a much better price for the Plains & Eastern converter stations than Siemens, and, if so, why is Clean Line content to pay more for Siemens converter stations for Rock Island?

Ahhh... the kerfuffles that can ensue when a company signs "exclusive agreements" to obtain supplies from vendors years in advance of final engineering.  Who does that?  Probably not the majority of transmission owners, who prefer to source a project competitively when they're actually ready to build and have financing in place to back up any contracts that they sign.

Or is this just the tip of the iceberg?  Will we now see Clean Line jettison a whole bunch of "exclusive agreements" when the rubber finally hits the road?

And I do wonder if GE will be required to use local labor to build the converter stations?  Since GE's real muscle is the former French company Alstom (gobbled up in 2015), will the actual components be built in France and merely shipped to U.S. sites for assembly by GE contractors?

None of this ridiculous fanfare about GE contracting to supply the converters is even necessary.  Other transmission owners don't need to drum up media interest every time they sign a contract with a supplier.  Clean Line does it because it allows them to hide behind a cloud of smoke and pretend their projects are making headway, instead of answering the hard questions, such as:

Where are the customers?
0 Comments

Clean Line Closing in on Darkened Lounge Journalism

10/19/2016

5 Comments

 
Picture
Well, isn't that nice?  Clean Line's Mark Lawlor got all chatty with the Missouri Times, who tried to create the fantasy that the Grain Belt Express transmission project is pretty much approved by the Missouri Public Service Commission.

Nothing could be further from the truth.

"Clean Line closing in on final order with the PSC"
appears to be the work of a journalist who doesn't understand the PSC process and prefers to present only one side of the story.  Clean Line isn't "closing in" on anything.  The parties (including those who oppose the project, because even if the story doesn't mention them, they still exist) are merely jockeying for position to develop a procedural schedule.  Big. Stinkin'. Deal.  This does not mean that the process has officially even started yet, but once it does, other parties will have opportunity to present evidence to the Commission and argue their position.  The positions of the opposition were enough to convince the PSC to deny GBE's first application in Missouri.  Nothing much has changed.  Except the propaganda... Clean Line is pouring that on real, real thick.

Does Clean Line think that the MO PSC is going to be swayed by propaganda and third party advocacy, instead of evidence and law?
The Grain Belt Express Clean Line wind energy project has made significant steps towards getting the final green light from the Public Service Commission.
Since the case hasn't even started yet, it remains to be seen if Clean Line's newest application will do anything to convince the PSC to approve the project.  Who decided "significant steps towards getting the final green light" have happened?  The Missouri Times?  Clean Line?  I'm sorry, but the only entity who can decide that is the MO PSC, and they haven't decided anything yet.  And what's this about a "final" green light?  This implies that a preliminary "green light" has already happened, and that's just not true.  It's been nothing but RED lights for Clean Line in Missouri so far.

And do you know why GBE "stalled" in July?  Because it filed an improper application in June that was rejected by the PSC.  "Stalled" isn't quite the proper word, denied is more apt.

So, the only "news" here is that the Missouri Times mistakenly believes "the case has officially started with the commission."  That's not news.  I'm pretty sure everyone already knows that.  And... wowzers, on the edge of your seat, folks... the PSC gave the go-ahead to finalize a public hearing schedule.  It doesn't mean the schedule is set or anything.  It means the parties are still arguing about it.  This is not news either.

So, Mark is excited.  I hope you're all excited, too.
“It wouldn’t make a lot of sense to build a line around Missouri,” Lawlor said, adding that he is confident the PSC will rule fairly on the merits of the project, not the factor. “They’re going to judge the case on its merits and whether it meets the standards that Missouri has under its statutes. They will ask, ‘Is there a need for the project and is it it in the public interest?’ We have put forth a strong argument that there’s a need.“
I'm also confident the PSC will rule fairly on the merits of the project.  And that GBE has done nothing much to create any "need" for its project.  Because, at the end of the day, Clean Line's "contract" with Missouri cities isn't binding.  The cities can elect not to participate at a later date, like when they find out that the purported wind energy they are going to have to purchase from another party in order to use GBE's capacity is much more expensive than Clean Line originally quoted.  Because Clean Line does not sell energy.  It can't price energy.  It can only sell transmission capacity, which amounts to an empty extension cord not plugged into any energy source.  Who buys an extension cord that's not plugged into anything and hopes a cheap generator gets built later on?  And guess what?  The lights will not go out in any Missouri city if Clean Line is not built.  And the cities can't even claim any savings from a Clean Line... because any savings are purely speculative at this point.  Without contracted energy, the cost to the Missouri cities is nothing but a big, fat, guess.  So, no need, no public interest, not a public utility. 

And all that blather about what some "Fortune 100" companies want is also a load of who shot John.  If these companies want renewable energy, there's nothing stopping them from buying it.  Right now.  Today.  And if they're really considering opening new facilities in locations where renewable energy is available, the prudent thing to do would be to locate the facilities near renewable energy generators, not in places where they have to pay transmission charges on a "clean" line.  We don't "need to do them" so the companies can pay extra for transmission.

And then Lawlor piles on some condescending "concern" for Missouri.  Don't be fooled... Mark's primary concern is turning a profit for his company, not providing electricity to Missouri.
While Indiana and Illinois signed onto the project before Missouri, Missouri was always seen as the most integral partner of the project. Lawlor says that belief can cause some to believe Missouri would not get much benefit out of the project, even though Missouri would get roughly 500 MW from wind energy as a result.

“Some folks get distracted this is something going through Missouri, the reality is that this is delivering power to Missouri,” he said. “From day one, it was just going to be a Kansas to Missouri line, but we found the Missouri grid couldn’t take that much power.

“Missouri’s key to this whole thing and we hope and expect we can bring those benefits to the state,” Lawlor said.
Missouri will only "get" roughly 500 MW of Clean Line's capacity if load serving entities actually purchase it.  Clean Line isn't giving "benefits" away for free.  If there are no purchasers, there are no "benefits."  And so far there are no firm purchasers.  Clean Line isn't delivering anything to Missouri, or any other state, without firm customers.  In fact, Lawlor forgot to mention that Clean Line's speculative "contract" with Missouri cities also proposes to sell capacity to the cities to export their dirty coal-fired power to other states.  If 500 MW comes in, and 500 MW goes out, what does Missouri get?  Fooled, that's what they'd get.

If Missouri is the key, Clean Line is in a heap of trouble.

So, what is it about The Missouri Times that makes them publish these kinds of stories?  The Gateway Journalism Review took a good, hard look at the Times earlier this year, and found a bunch of unpaid bills, unpaid taxes, and an editor who "was convicted by a Cape Girardeau County jury of three counts of felony forgery. In that case, he was accused of forging checks for an account for a highway expansion project."
A reporter attempted to interview Faughn about his companies’ money troubles. The Missouri Times is headquartered at 129 East High St. in Jefferson City. A reporter found Faughn there at the top of a two-story walkup, inside a darkened room resembling a lounge.

Faughn was standing behind a bar in the room with a laptop computer in front of him. Liquor bottles stood on shelves on the wall behind him. Black and white photos of politicians covered the other walls of the room.

Faughn declined a face-to-face interview. He said he would consider written questions sent by email. Questions were emailed March 17. Faughn acknowledged receiving them March 21, but said he could not respond until next week.

Faughn, the former mayor of Poplar Bluff, launched the Missouri Times in 2013 with former Missouri House Speaker Rod Jetton. Faughn was Jetton’s former campaign manager. Jetton has since severed ties with the operation.
Oh, I see.  This is the kind of publication that publishes glowing stories about Clean Line "closing in" on PSC approval.  It all makes sense now.
But what I really want to know, after reading this story, is when GBE is denied by the MO PSC for the second time, will Clean Line will finally go away?  After all, the story says a "final order" of the PSC is about to happen.  A final order on GBE's first application already happened, but the company has yet to go away.  Let's hope this time final means final.
5 Comments

Your Tax Dollars At Work Making Useless Conclusions

10/5/2016

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Our government loves to spend money on studies and reports to inform its actions.  However, some government reports just leave the governed scratching their heads.  That's the case with the U.S. Department of Energy's Building Electric Transmission Lines:  A Review of Recent Transmission Projects.

The administration's Quadrennial Energy Review "...recommended that the Department of Energy (DOE) conduct a national review of transmission plans and assess barriers and incentives to their implementation."  The DOE tasked its Lawrence Berkeley National  Laboratory (LBNL) to prepare a report to support its response to this recommendation.  Lawrence Berkeley is an expert on the physical sciences.  Maybe the idea was to apply physical "science" to administrative and social problems?  But it doesn't work.  There's nothing scientific about transmission planning, permitting and siting.  In fact, the biggest problem with this issue is that industry and government has been attempting to make it purely scientific for years and have failed miserably because human factors not considered in science keep derailing the best laid plans of business and government.  DOE might as well have sent a carpenter to install plumbing.

But LBNL bravely soldiered on.  It "selected" nine recent transmission projects for its study.  No mention of how these projects were selected.  It's almost like they cherry picked a representative sample based on secretive criteria.  Who selected these nine transmission projects, and why?  I'd sort of expect something at least equivalent to the standards applied to elementary school science fair projects from LBNL.  Is this how they set up all their experiments?  Any teacher can tell you that the subjects of your case study can drastically affect your conclusions when not selected scientifically.

LBNL selected a mix of both failed and successful merchant and regionally cost-allocated transmission projects.  But it failed to delve very far into how the merchant vs. regionally allocated factor alone affected the projects' success.  A regionally cost-allocated project enjoys a rebuttable presumption of need during the permitting process, while a merchant project relies on committed customers to demonstrate need.  Beyond this broad statement, no attention was paid to how lack of committed customers for merchant projects may have played into failure in the state permitting process.

LBNL used four criteria to evaluate its selected projects. 

1.  The State Approval process.  States have authority for siting and permitting transmission projects.
2.  NEPA Compliance.  Projects sited on federal land must go through the administrative quagmire of the NEPA process.
3.  Public and Stakeholder Involvement.  Why isn't "the public" a stakeholder?
4.  Economic and Commercial Circumstances.  Transmission project economics is always changing.  When combined with a long approval process, transmission economics almost always die a slow, painful death.

So, let's talk about some of the samples.

The Champlain Hudson Power Express.  This project has sailed through permitting.  LBNL thinks this was due to a "proactive" effort on the part of its developers to negotiate with stakeholders during permitting.  The real secret here is that this project is routed entirely underground along road and railway rights of way.  Because it wasn't routed through or visible from private property, it did not inspire any opposition.  Since there was no public opposition, it was not delayed and did not have to waste money on third party advocacy and propaganda efforts to create an aura of artificial support.  This is the most important conclusion revealed in LBNL's study, but sadly LBNL failed to recognize it.

The Potomac-Appalachian Transmission Highline (PATH).  Talk about stating the obvious:

The PATH project is an example of a project that faced significant public opposition.
All of these projects, save the Champlain Hudson project, probably faced significant public opposition.  Public opposition drives the state approval and NEPA processes and causes expensive delays which affect the economic and commercial circumstances.

The Grain Belt Express project.  Another example of significant public opposition driving the state approval process.
As part of its analysis of the public interest, the PSC acknowledged the substantial opposition to the project expressed by business owners, farmers, and individual landowners across whose properties the project was proposed to cross. The Missouri PSC noted, “In this case, the evidence shows that any actual benefits to the general public from the Project are outweighed by the burdens on affected landowners.”
And has GBE done anything to ameliorate that public opposition?  What if it had decided to re-route its project underground along roads and railways?  But, it didn't.  Instead it came up with that weak tea of the MJMEUC "contract" (obviously LBNL didn't bother to scientifically READ that contract and simply took GBE's word for its efficacy).  Seems like it's getting more and more expensive to be GBE with no clear avenue to success.  How much money could this project have saved if it had been properly routed to avoid public opposition in the first place?  Maybe enough to route it underground?  And what if it actually had customers in order to "...rely on buyers of bulk transmission services to establish a project’s financial viability"?  LBNL skates over the fact that Clean Line's problems are of its own making by proposing a purely speculative project with no customers.

The Susquehanna Roseland project.  LBNL seems to think that "mitigation," aka bribes, paid to the National Park Service cost the developer money.

The National Park Service, for example, required significant and expensive mitigation measures from the developers for the Susquehanna-Roseland project in order to gain its approval for completion of the portion of the line that crossed the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area, which it is mandated to protect.
The "mitigation" actually turned into a cash cow for the developers.  The ratepayers ended up footing the bill for the $60M "mitigation," as well as an obligation to  pay the developer 12.9% interest on the money over the 40 year life of the project.  It didn't cost the developers a dime.

So, what were LBNL's conclusions?
The development of a transmission project is a commercial venture involving investors who are prepared to incur significant, yet ultimately limited, up-front development costs in return for the opportunity to earn future profits from the sale of transmission services and/or a regulated return on invested capital. Adopting a developer’s perspective enables us to look at the factors reviewed in this report as ones that affect either the cost or time required to construct a transmission project. The extent to which these factors represent barriers to the implementation of transmission projects is thus an assessment of whether these costs or time requirements are avoidable or necessary.
LBNL concluded that these costs are necessary, but that some could be avoided.
There are documented examples of project developers who have sought to reduce these costs and associated time requirements through up-front information sharing and joint (and early) development of mitigation approaches (including abandonment of early proposed and development of new routing options). The success of these activities has hinged largely on the extent to which they lead to meaningful engagement and tangible commitments to address public concerns over line routing.
In other words, coming to a community with a problem and allowing constructive engagement into crafting a solution allows the community to buy into and own the solution.  None of the sample projects actually accomplished this in practice.  They just made smarter routing decisions (underground on public rights of way) in the first place.  Schmoozing and buying off local governments and other "stakeholders" (such as native American tribes, environmental groups, chambers of commerce, etc.) in advance of revealing agreed upon routes to the public doesn't work.  If the newly affected  public (i.e. landowners) did not have a role in crafting the solution, they will oppose it.  The trick is not to propose anything that the landowners can get upset about, such as burial on public transportation rights of way.
The state-centric public-interest issue that arises most vividly for multi-state transmission projects involves the so-called “fly-over” states. These states are situated between the states that are the starting and ending points for a long-distance transmission project. The initial decisions by the Missouri PSC to deny the CPCN application for Grain Belt Express exemplify this issue. The public-interest issue raised by states in the middle is that, at bottom, they are being asked to bear significant portions of the cost or adverse impacts of a project, yet they do not believe they are being provided with sufficient opportunities to share in the benefits of the project.

The LBNL acknowledges the cost of what it calls "side payments" to fly-over states to provide the appearance of some state benefit.  What they mean is construction of substations in fly-over states, claims of jobs, taxes and economic development, political donations to state elected officials, funding for other state or local projects, donations to local universities or public interest organizations, and non-binding "contracts" with local businesses.  It's nothing but smoke and mirrors used to create the appearance of local benefit.  When the smoke clears, the fly-over state is left with nothing, but by that time it's too late and the project is built.  Instead, how about actual benefits for fly-over states, instead of hot air and empty promises?  If a project is not needed in a state, then there can never be a "benefit" from it.  You can't create "benefit" from something unneeded, otherwise it's just a straight up bribe.  The transmission industry needs to quit wasting its money on this stuff and simply design better projects that have a natural public benefit.

The need to satisfy a middle state’s public-interest requirements is a classic example of what economists describe as the role and importance of “side payments.” In this instance, the gains from trade must be sufficient to cover side payments to affected parties who have standing but who would not otherwise benefit from the transaction. Thus, the situation faced by developers, such as those for the Grain Belt Express project, is tangibly and fundamentally (but not solely) commercial in nature. Notably, as discussed, the developers for Grain Belt Express recently reached an agreement to sell power from the project to an association of municipal utilities in Missouri and, based on this agreement, plan to re-file their request for state regulatory approval. It remains to be seen whether the fact of a Missouri entity signing an agreement that could be seen as demonstrating the public-interest value of the project in Missouri will result in the Missouri PSC approving the project on its third attempt in the state.

By the way, GBE did not reach an agreement to "sell power" from the project to MJMEUC, or anyone else.  GBE sells transmission capacity.  It does not sell power.  The only thing GBE has "sold" is space on a wire.  Power sold separately from another vendor.  LBNL needs to apply a little physics to its thinking process to avoid allowing industry propaganda to infiltrate its conclusions.

LBNL also concluded that the federal government is a circus without a ringmaster and the NEPA process is FUBAR.

Wrapping all its conclusions together, LBNL comes up with this:
Developing a transmission project involves simultaneously managing two categories of commercial risk. One is the risk associated with securing the capital necessary to build the project. Eto (2016) focused on one example of capital risk: that associated with seeking regional cost allocation. The other category encompasses risks associated with the actual construction of a project. This report is focused on a key subset of these project-construction risks: the cost of satisfying the due process requirements of state and federal agencies involved in permitting and siting lines, which is often increased when there is organized public opposition to the project. These are necessary costs associated with transmission-line construction. Some can made more manageable through proactive actions by developers. Still others can be made more manageable through the actions of federal and state agencies to enhance the efficiency and accountability of their processes. Thus, while the project review process can be slow and add costs to project development, on the whole transmission lines are being built. Moreover, there are promising signs that both groups are taking actions to improve the processes, both in terms of their duration and the quality of the decisions that get made. We found examples of merchant transmission projects successfully gaining needed approvals and being constructed. Their experiences, in particular, suggest that if the economics of potential projects are sound, someone will find a way to build them.
These costs, ultimately borne by electric customers, become completely unnecessary when projects are designed properly in the first place.  A project that doesn't intrude on the community won't foment opposition.  Underground that thing on public rights of way!  Projects that provide no benefit to fly-over states don't belong in those states to begin with!  Solve your transmission problems with resources closer to home.  It doesn't take a rocket scientist...

As far as the inefficiency of the federal government, can't help you there.  Maybe another report on how to reform the federal government to make it work for the people instead of the special interests?  Maybe the special interests can fund it next time around.
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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